Alright, let's get real about this Snowflake (SNOW) stock nonsense. Another freakin' AI play? Give me a break. Every company is slapping "AI" on their name like it's a magic sticker that instantly doubles their valuation.
AI Gold Rush: Shovels or Actual Treasure?
The Data Game
So, Snowflake, the "cloud data-management software provider," is suddenly an AI darling? They sell data analytics software, which, let's be honest, is about as exciting as watching paint dry. Now, they're supposedly riding the AI wave because, surprise, AI needs data. Groundbreaking stuff.
They’re in "major growth mode," says the talking head. Okay, sure. Growth mode fueled by the same hype driving crypto scams and meme stocks. We've seen this movie before. Remember the dot-com bubble? Yeah, I do.
And then there's Credo Technology (CRDO). Triple-digit growth? Soaring profits? Sounds amazing, right? Until you realize they’re selling high-speed connectivity systems for AI data centers. In other words, they're selling shovels in the AI gold rush. Nothing wrong with that, necessarily, but let's not pretend it's the gold itself.
But wait, there's more! Snowflake's earnings are expected to jump 45% this year and another 37% next year. Analysts are creaming their jeans over this. But are they really looking at the fundamentals, or are they just chasing the AI unicorn? I mean, come on.
Wall Street's High on Something, and It Ain't Profits
Wall Street's Delusions
Wall Street expects CrowdStrike (CRWD) to edge up 1% in profit? One freakin' percent? And they're trading at 142 times trailing earnings? Are you kidding me? That's not a valuation, that's a delusion. They're going to hold them to a "high standard," like Zscaler (ZS)? As if that's going to change anything. The market is driven by narratives, not numbers.
Oh, and don't even get me started on the options trading strategy. "Buy a call option to buy a stock at a predetermined price without taking a lot of risk." If you believe that, I've got a bridge to sell you. Options are gambling, plain and simple.
I saw some blurb about analyst price targets suggesting modest upside for Snowflake. The high estimate is $440/share, the low is $170/share. That's not a forecast; that's a wild-ass guess. These guys are throwing darts at a board and pretending it's science.
Another thing, I saw some headline about the S&P 500 closing over 6,500 because Nvidia "validated the AI boom." Validated? Nvidia had a decent quarter, but their data center revenue was a hair under estimates. And their revenue guide didn't include China sales. But offcourse, everyone ignored that and piled in anyway. Because AI! S&P 500 closes over 6,500 for the first time as Nvidia results validate AI boom
You know what? I'm starting to think I'm taking crazy pills here. Maybe I'm just too cynical. Maybe everyone else is right, and I'm missing out on the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. Maybe AI really *is* going to change the world, and Snowflake is going to be the next Amazon.
Nah.
So, What's the Real Story Here?
It's the same old song and dance: hype, speculation, and a whole lot of suckers buying into a narrative that's too good to be true. Snowflake is selling ice to Eskimos, and Wall Street is lining up to buy it.